Artificial Intelligence @ SAIS Creag Meagaidh
30th March 2023
The Swiss have been dabbling with Artificial Intelligence (AI) as an avalanche forecasting tool since last year. See here: https://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/sci-tech/ai-human-combination-predicts-avalanche-risk/47684806
With AI chatbots now very definitely a ‘thing’ I thought it would be interesting to get the chatbot ChatGPT to have a go at writing the avalanche forecast for SAIS Creag Meagaidh for tomorrow, Friday.
What could possibly go wrong?
To be fair, the chatbot had a pretty good stab at it given the fairly sparse guidance I supplied. It definitely knew something about avalanches in a generic (orthodox) way but appeared not to understand the vagaries of the Scottish variant in its current form, as shown in the first example below.
(I gave it some basic weather, snowpack, and distribution parameters to work with and it came up with the following):
Outcome: In the region of ‘Considerable’ hazard??
That’s definitely a fail, then!
I led it by the nose a bit in the second iteration, adding ‘Good stability everywhere’ as a descriptor, below:
Better! But no cigar…
I’m told the bot does learn and will improve its ability to deal with something like a simple forecast. In its current form, it’s just not a useful tool since it took as long for me to set up the conditions/parameters as it would to write a publishable avalanche forecast. (I think the Swiss are using a very powerful, bespoke, predictive AI they developed themselves just for avalanche forecasting).
It’s probably the future though.
Feeling playful, I thought I’d see how it fared with a bit of a ‘curve ball’…..
‘….as a Shakespearean sonnet’, I hear you say.
OK, if you insist…
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